Sunday, October 25, 2009

Week 7 NFL Picks

Quickly before I head off to NYC with the family...

(Home teams in CAPS)

Green Bay over CLEVELAND

Indy over ST. LOUIS

PITTSBURGH over Minnesota

New England over TAMPA

San Fran over HOUSTON

CAROLINA over Buffalo
No way the Bills can win two weeks in a row...

NY Jets over OAKLAND
No way the Raiders can win two weeks in a row...

Hotlanta over DALLAS

Chicago over CINCI

Naaaahlins over MIAMI

NY GIANTS over Arizona

Eagles over WASHINGTON
Could we possibly witness the first domination of the Redskins in a few years? The 'skins always play the birds close, something tells me that we are due for a bounce back week from our Iggles.

I think the Yankees close it out tonight to set up an old Indians aces game one of CC Sabathia vs our very own Clifton Phifer Lee.

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Week 6 NFL Picks

Not to complain, but can the NFC East schedule get any more boring? I found myself almost wishing that the Bucs would score last week so I could stop staring at the grass on the field in HD - that was the most exciting part of lasts week's Eagles win. Probably more of the same today versus the dysfunctional Raiders.

(Home teams in CAPS)

CINCI over Houston
It's not that I'm a believer in Carson Palmer all of the sudden, it's just that Houston stinks.

GREEN BAY over Detroit
I'm gonna say closer than we might initially think as long as Stafford plays. They have too many weapons to not put up some pointage.

NY Giants over NEW ORLEANS
Yes, Drew Brees is due for a fantasy "carry-a-team-on-his-shoulders" type week, but I don't think he'll benefit much from the Giants defense. Lower scoring game.

PITTSBURGH over Cleveland
Not looking too good for the Steelers. Not even their annual home trouncing of the fourth worst franchise in the NFL will do a lot to dispel any worries the Steeler faithful might have about this team.

Carolina over TAMPA BAY
An iffy call, especially because Tampa almost had the Eagles a few times last week if not for a few turnovers. They can move the ball as long as Winslow's on his game. I'm expecting a huge day for DeAngelo Williams.

WASHINGTON over kc
Kansas City doesn't deserve capitals even when I abbreviate their name. This NFL season - well the schedulers didn't do a very good job did they? Every week it seems like we are put through watching snoozarama after a snoozefest. This week we have 3 almost guaranteed horrible games. This should be the worst one.

JACKSONVILLE over St. Louis
Hard to pick any team that loses by 41 points and doesn't score at all. But that is how bad the Rams are this year. How is Rush Limbaugh even in discussion with the NFL?

Arizona over SEATTLE
Will Matt Hasselback actually continue his potential reemergence? No.

Eagles over OAKLAND
Just take McNabb out after the first half, please. And Westbrook too. And all major defensive weapons. This is a day for Michael Vick, Eldra Buckley, Kevin Curtis and friends.

NEW ENGLAND over Tennessee
The Patriots are very comparable to my first Atlantic City Casino trip yesterday. They walk in and seem a little unsure of themselves until Tom Brady wins them a game or two, the fans are back on their high horses completely thinking that football was made for Tom Brady to dominate. That's until the offense takes what they think is a well-deserved break on the sideline only to lose a collective $1600 in an hour when they find out that Blackjack is really not the easiest game in the world, and $360 dollar steak dinner extravaganza dinners at Mortons isn't a preconceived reservations every time you step on the casino floor. Phew - got that out of my system.

NY JETS over Buffalo
Last week to trade TO! Still don't think the Jets should be praised for much, but this week should at least get the analysts stirring about Mark Sanchez again. Not that they should.

ATLANTA over Chicago
Matt Ryan will stay hot and Michael Turner will have another great week. Chicago will probably come out slow on the road after the bye week.

SAN DIEGO over Denver
I've picked against Denver every week. That means that the Broncos account for 1/5 of my losses. And I'm not changing. They just CAN'T be this good! They had a horrible offseason! They have a young, over-his-head coach, a crappy QB. They can't possibly be 6-0... can they?

Go Phillies. Should be a pitcher's duel today with Cliff Lee and Hiroki Kuroda. Phils have a good chance seeing as Kuroda hasn't pitched in over 2 weeks and got shelled by Pittsburgh his last time out. Let's go Phillies!

Season: 51-25

Sunday, October 11, 2009

Week 5 NFL Picks

Before I make my picks for this week, let me just put a desire of mine out there. I want to see Christopher Moltisanti's Cleaver in actual production. It looks like it could possibly be the worst movie ever made. I think I'd probably enjoy this over a real life production of Aquaman.

I'll get on with Week 5 now.

(Home teams in CAPS)

BUFFALO over Cleveland
Cleveland plays its heart out and loses in overtime to the Bengals. Not exactly inspiring for the second coming of Derek Anderson. Losing Braylon Edwards can't help either. Give me a good game for Beast Mode himself, Marshawn Lynch

Dallas over KC
After watching Tony Romo make the Dallas offense look even more anemic than it probably is last week, it might be generous to go with a Cowboys win on the road. Only the fact that KC has absolutely nothing going for it right now is keeping Dallas's hopes alive for the season.

Minnesota over ST. LOUIS
I'm officially scared of the Vikings. And as my friend pointed out last week, it might be St. Louis who is now officially the worst team in football. If only KC and St. Louis went up head to head, it might be the most unpredictable game of the year.

NY GIANTS over Oakland
Oakland just keeps getting worse. After an inspiring first two weeks, Darren McFadden looks like he could be the biggest bust since Jamarcus Russel.... or is it the other way around?

EAGLES over Tampa Bay
While it should be a blowout, the Bucs have historically played the Eagles tough. Who knows what will happen with the reemergence of Donovan McNabb. Could it possibly be a game after the first half? I say yes. I think we'll see a healthy McNabb on the bench laughing about corny jokes as Kolb looks like crap in the fourth.

Pittsburgh over DETROIT
Not much to say here. Probably no Matthew Stafford and even with Kevin Smith playing like a fantasy hero, this shouldn't be close. The true test is whether or not the Steelers go blowout like the champs they are or if they play this one close to the chest.

CAROLINA over Washington
Probably close scoring, and potentially the second worst game of the week. Decent defenses with awful QB's doesn't sound promising. I'll take the home team with the better offense, if you can call it that.

BALTIMORE over Cinci
Cinci is looking good, yes. Baltimore is looking ferocious. Can't imagine this one is close after even a quarter.

Atlanta over SAN FRAN
This is why Atlanta acquired Tony Gonzalez. For when people pick San Fran to beat a contending sleeper. I think this is a week that San Fran doesn't show up. We haven't seen a Matt Ryan explosion and we are due for one.

Jacksonville over SEATTLE
Hasselback is... well, back. But it won't make much of a difference.

ARIZONA over Houston
Probably a shootout with the receives that these teams possess. Can't see anything less than a score in the high 20's.

New England over DENVER
Here's my question - what if Dallas isn't that good? Denver hadn't beaten anyone before the Cowgirls and this might be their first legitimate test. Kyle Orton vs. Tom Brady - I don't care if Tom Brady is 45 with one knee left, he cannot lose this game. Oh and Brian Dawkins, I think I hate you.

Indy over TENNESSEE
Time for the return of Vince Young. At least see what you have left in your first round pick, Titans. If not this week, it'll have to happen soon enough. Peyton Manning is out to prove something this year. Scary to think that he was hurt last year and won the MVP. Won't get to see much of this because the Phillies will be on. Go Phillies!

NY Jets over MIAMI
This will be a good game. But I won't be watching because the Phillies are on! Go Phillies!

Go Phillies!

Season: 42-20

Saturday, October 3, 2009

Week 4 NFL Picks

Looks like I'm back to my Week 1 ways. 12-4 last week. That's the stuff of champs my friends. Onto Week 4, where it is never a good idea when you are HAPPY that your favorite team has the bye week. That's right, week 4 and we are already thanking the league for giving us our injury rest. Oye.

(Home team in CAPS)

CHICAGO over Detroit
Who called the Lions' first win in almost two years? Who was it again? Oh yeah - it was ME. Not that I think that success will carry onward to the windy city.

Cinci over CLEVELAND
As someone who would never bet on Marvin Lewis to win anything, it is hard for me to pick this man on the road. Yet against a team that thinks replacing their first round draft pick with a QB who threw three picks in one half is a good idea, I'll take Team Ochocinco.

INDY over Seattle
Looks like no Matt Hasselback again, not that it matters. Peyton Manning looks like he found a solid replacement for Anthony Gonzalez and they should be a shoe-in at home.

NY GIANTS over KC
Kansas City is officially the worst team in football over the past few years after Detroit won last week. Todd Haley stinks - the man ran the ball non-stop in the 3rd quarter down by 3 scores.

Baltimore over NEW ENGLAND
I'm doing it, I am finally off of the "I-will-pick-New-England-every-week-regardless-of-what-they-did-last-week-or-the-week-before-because-they-have-Belichick-and-Brady" bandwagon. I'm off (for now anyway). Baltimore looks plain scary. Flacco looks like a dark-horse MVP candidate and the defense looks flawless. Surprised this isn't a primetime game, no?

WASHINGTON over Tampa Bay
I REMEMBERED! Byron Leftwich! That's the starting QB for Tampa. I almost had to look it up again. Phew.

Tennessee over JACKSONVILLE
Mo-Jo-Drew can't really be this good can he? And the Titans can't really be this bad can they? Jeff Fisher needs to win this game to avoid a QB controversy between the "future hall-of-famer," Vince Young, and Kerry Collins.

Oakland over HOUSTON
Call me crazy, but then again I have no problem calling everyone who picked Houston to make the playoffs before the season started. Oakland will have to put it all together for a full game sooner or later, rather than just the glimpses that we have been witnessing.

NAAAAHLINS over NY Jets
Well... Mark Sanchez is looking pretty good. I'll admit it. This coming from the guy who said there would never be another good drafted QB after Rivers, Manning #2 (or 3?), or Roethlisberger. I see this being the meltdown of the Jets heralded defense. Look for a high scoring convincing win by the Saints. And by the way, that doesn't mean that I believe in the Saints. It means that I don't believe in the Jets.

Buffalo over MIAMI
Poor Chad Pennington. The kid has such a sweet name and his arm just can't live up to it. After such a horrendous start to the season, Chad Henne's first start should to little to quell the diehard's fears. The TO Show isn't looking deserving of popcorn just yet, but I think this week will change that.

SAN FRAN over St. Louis
San Fran continues to look like the real deal. If the Quarterback-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named didn't pull that throw out of his yoo-hoo then the niners would be sitting as pretty as can be. No Frank Gore might hurt them eventually, but not against St. Louis.

Dallas over DENVER
I'll give Josh McDaniels credit - he's right. The Broncos cannot be any better than 3-0 right now. I'm not saying that I'm putting my money on Romo to tear up what has been a stupendous Denver D, but... well I guess I am. Dallas wins convincingly.

PITTSBURGH over San Diego
This should be one hell of a game. I'm sure everyone in Pittsburgh is wondering how that final Carson Palmer drive would have ended if Troy Polamalu was playing and unfortunately for them they are going to keep on wondering for a few more weeks. That being said, Big Ben won't lose a home game against a rival AFC Qb picked 7 spots higher than him. Higher scoring than one would initially think though.

MINNESOTA over Green Bay
Yeah, it's a pretty fun matchup, but it won't compare to when The Quarterback-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named plays in Lambeau. If Minnesota can win when AP doesn't score a touchdown, we should probably be very scared indeed. Not looking forward to the media circus leading up to this game. I feel like we have been listening to this talk for the past two seasons as if this was inevitable.

Biggest winners though - the Philadelphia Phillies. Getting rested, healthy, and a home field advantage for the first round. 3 straight division titles.

Season: 33-15

Friday, September 25, 2009

Week 3 NFL Picks

After the easiest week 1 in recent memory, Week 2 brought me back down to earth to the tune of an 8-8 record. In hopes of getting my predictions out sooner and to more eyes, my week 3 picks will be happeninnnnnnggggg... NOW.

(Home team in CAPS)

DETROIT over Washington
What a way to start off eh? Detroit hasn't won a game in 19 straight attempts. What better to snap that trend than a home game against an uninspired Washington team with a head coach who doesn't seem to have a handle on his team? I can't imagine Jason Campbell tearing apart any defense. This is as far from a sure thing as you can get, but I'll still take the Lions to be one of ESPN's top stories from Week 3.

Green Bay over ST. LOUIS
Green Bay losing to Cinci last week. Not many saw that coming, especially in the cheesy confines of Wisconsin. Bounce back time for Aaron Rodgers and company.

MINNESOTA over San Fran
I'm rooting for San Fran so we can hear more about Shaun Hill and his game management skills. The last thing I want to hear about is that He Who Must Not Be Named and Peterson's Vikings might be the best team in the NFL, which is a real possibility depending on the outcome of this game. Save me from overanalyzing + He Who Must Not Be Named + Purple Jerseys = ESPN having a field day.

(On a side note, with Peter Forsberg's announcement that he is attempting another comeback, he has quietly distinguished himself as He Who Must Not Be Named's likeness for the NHL. If hockey was a bigger sport people would be talking about how Forsberg is a diva. How he announced his latest retirement on the day of the trade deadline to overcome all the NHL attention and focus it on himself. How his injuries are because his "boot doesn't fit." Has anyone heard of such an injury before? Anyone? Anyone?)

NEW ENGLAND over Hotlanta
Bill Belichick is too good of a coach to allow his team to keep underperforming like this. A home game against a somewhat inexperienced team should help his cause. The Brady-Moss connection is due for a honeymoon sometime soon aren't they?

Tennessee over NY JETS
I haven't made up my mind on Rex Ryan yet; he has backed up his talk so far and doesn't appear to be shutting up any time soon. Much like my New England prediction, Jeff Fisher will not allow his team to start the season off 0-3 and crush any historical chance of winning the Super Bowl (it has never been done before). I'll put my money on Kerry Collins over Mark Sanchez for this one.

EAGLES over Kansas City
Dorothy Gale of Kansas once said "there's no place like home." This will ring true this week for my Eagles. It looks like McNabb will not play (and he shouldn't), Brian Westbrook will pull the classic "no practice but I'll play anyway" gag, Desean Jackson is nursing the first semi-serious injury of his career, and Kevin Curtis will probably be out too. Todd Haley has overstepped his boundaries already, just two weeks into his first head coaching gig. Threatening the 63 million dollar QB's job already doesn't appear to be the best start to the season. The Philly crowd will push the Eagles to a victory that will be amplified by the triumphant return of Michael Vick. Go Iggles.

NY Giants over TAMPA BAY
I already forgot that Byron Leftwich was the Bucs starting QB. Giants win.

BALTIMORE over Cleveland
I believe in Joe Flacco. I really do. I do not believe in Brady Quinn. Or Braylon Edwards. Or Jamal Lewis. Or Eric Mangini.

HOUSTON over Jacksonville
I don't really like either one of these teams. So when in doubt I'll go with Andre Johnson and co.

New Orleans over BUFFALO
I'm still not a huge fan of the Saints. Sure they absolutely demolished the Eagles last week, but that was without McNabb and with the worst special teams performance in recent memory. Give Drew Brees a short field and it's basically automatic. With all that said, I think they still take care of business over the Bills, despite a strong performance from Trent Edwards and TO.

Chicago over SEATTLE
Well I was wrong about Jay Cutler. Hard to make a stronger first impression for your home crowd than beating the defending Super Bowl champs.

SAN DIEGO over Miami
This is where the season ends for Miami. After a strong showing on Monday Night Football, traveling to San Diego won't be kind to Tony Soprano, whoops I mean Sparano. I still can't trust the San Diego defense which I was so pumped to draft and don't think they will cause the Dolphins must strife. Rivers will be too pissed off to lose another one. Love that dude.

Pittsburgh over CINCI
I have a secret crush on the Steelers. I just love the way they operate. It will be interesting to see if Troy Polamalu's absence has that much of an effect on the Steelers.

OAKLAND over Denver
The battle of the two must currently dysfunctional teams in the NFL. There's no way JaMarcus Russel can go 7/24 again right? Right?...right?

Indy over ARIZONA
What a matchup huh? Should be a high scoring, shootout kinda' game. While Kurt Warner may have more weapons thanks to Anthony Gonzalez's injury, I'll put my money on Peyton Manning.

DALLAS over Carolina
Will Romo step up and be the media-created star that he has been portrayed as? Or will he continue to find the opposing team's secondary more easily than his own receivers? Only the second straight night game at the Jerry Jones's new stadium will tell.

Season: 21-11

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Week 2 NFL Picks

I will spare you the rehashing of my Week 1 picks which I did not post but wrote on a piece of paper and had validated by my dad. I went a ridiculous 13-3 to start off a beautiful 2009 campaign. Today, the start of the Jewish New Year, marks the return of my weekly picks.

(Home team in CAPS)

HOTLANTA over Carolina
Don't expect another horrendous week from Jake Delhomme but the Falcons balanced offense should overcome a stellar Panthers running attack.

Minnesota over DETROIT
We will probably be shown a lot of "The Quarterback Who Must Not Be Named" on ESPN highlights this week. After allowing Drew Brees to pick apart their secondary, the undecided one should do half as well.

GREEN BAY over Cinci
This year spells the end for Carson Palmer. Look for quite a few Lambeau Leaps.

TENNESSEE over Houston
I'm not expecting another 13-3 season from the Titans, but then again I'm also not a supporter of the "Houston will make the playoffs" statement made by everybody and their mother this year. Houston has never won and they certainly won't do it now.

Oakland over KC
After seeing a pretty nice defensive performance against the Chargers last Monday night, I'm a believer in more than 5 wins for the Raiders. Count this as one of them.

New England over NY JETS
How can anybody call Mark Sanchez a "rookie sensation" one game into the season when he threw one TD and one INT against a crappy Houston team? This is a team with a head coach whose mouth has so far outweighed his stomach (a difficult accomplishment). Don't tell me that the Jets defense is really good enough to shut down Brady, Moss, Welker and maybe even Watson.

EAGLES over Naaaahlins
No McNabb, no problem. I remember when McNabb went down with his first injury and Koy Detmer was given the responsibility of matching Jeff Garcia and TO (just as he hit his TO years). Detmer even got injured and AJ Feeley came in to lead the Eagles to victory. I may not be an Andy Reid supporter, but the man can win in the regular season. A home game against a Saints team that beat the Lions? - give me a break. I look for the Eagles to contain Drew Brees as well as they contained LT in 2005 when he was going for his umpteenth straight 100 yard running game and he instead ran 17 times for 7 (that's right SEVEN) yards. The Eagles defense have a knack for showing up to play at home and this should be no different. Eagles 27 - Saints 14.

WASHINGTON over St. Louis
St. Louis away? Can't even pick them to win at home.

JACKSONVILLE over Arizona
This will be the mini-storyline of Week 2. "Defending NFC champs open season 0-2." Reminder, Kurt Warner is now 38 and they are the Cardinals for crying out loud. The last time they had any success before Super Bowl XLIII was in Jerry Maguire when Rod Tidwell helped to upset Troy Aikman and the Cowboys for a playoff spot.

BUFFALO over Tampa Bay
Trent Edwards needs to find TO or this season will self-destruct before Marshawn Lynch even gets a taste of the field for the first time. After Romo tore the Bucs' secondary apart last week, a home team should take care of Byron Leftwich.

SAN FRAN over Seattle
My semi-upset pick of the week. Seattle may have some weapons and a healthy Matt Hasselback, but Frank Gore and Shaun Hill should be enough to pull a close one out at home.

Pittsburgh over CHICAGO
It should be fun to hear the ravenous Bears fans boo Cutler at his first home start.

SAN DIEGO over Baltimore
I can't imagine Joe Flacco putting up those insane numbers 2 weeks in a row. And I can't imagine Phillip Rivers putting up those lackluster numbers 2 weeks in a row. Chargers win a nailbiter.

Cleveland over DENVER
Last week's win was a fluke for Denver. Law of averages will catch up with the Broncos and their dysfunctional team.

DALLAS over NY Giants
New stadium + dark horse team + No Plaxico Burress = Cowboys win.

Indy over MIAMI
Miami had a nice season last year, but it all fell apart in the playoffs. I see most games going like that for Chad and his Dolphins. Manning should find a way to win even though Anthony Gonzalez is down with a booboo.

Season: 13-3

**Check out the new poll**

Thursday, August 27, 2009

New Idea

Dear Readers,

This is not a new post but rather an announcement. Over the next few days I will be taking questions that are related to sports/somewhat related to sports/can be related to sports. This is to form my first "Mail-Bag," similar to what popular columnists (most notably Bill Simmons) do. You can ask me anything you want. Either use my email (suaveboy@comcast.net), comment on this post (below), write on my Facebook wall, send me a Facebook message, or if you come up with a question on the go - text me.

Any and all questions are appreciated.

Hoping this works,

-Zach

Saturday, August 15, 2009

Jailbird

No need for much of an introduction to this entry. Everyone knows what this will be about, and while Brad Lidge's struggles are one hot topic, it amazingly doesn't even compare to the insanity that has reentered Philadelphia, something sorely missing since the days when T.O. did shirtless pushups in his front yard and Howard Eskin started a canned food drive to help feed Terrell's family. I am of course talking about the controversial signing of our new "jailbird," Michael Vick.

While many have argued and will continue to argue the basis of this signing in terms of the reason, the football sense, and morals, I will try to deviate from this popular argument. I will introduce more or less a point of view that I have carried with me for the past year and a half, all starting with more controversy - Sypgate, as it has come to be known.

When the New England Patriots were caught stealing signs from the New York Jets with a camera during a Week 1 game, I found myself disgusted. Having always been a reluctant admirer of Brady and Belichick's, shaking my head with utter amazement at the way they had produced wins and Vince Lombardi trophy's like nobody's business, I felt cheated. To discover that the team of the decade, the team that beat my beloved Eagles in Super Bowl 39 by a mere 3 points was not even playing the game the right way, tarnished my feelings for them. When you take away honest competition, you are taking away everything that makes professional sports enjoyable; integrity, fair play, and virtue. We turn on the TV every Sunday to watch the best in the world go head to head without knowing what the outcome will be at day's end. When one team feels the need to gain an illegal edge, the whole point of competition has gone to waste.

Now how does this relate to Michael Vick, you may ask me. Let's review Michael Vick as a player and a person. Michael Vick was the first overall pick in the 2001 NFL Draft and was revolutionizing the quarterback position on a weekly basis. He passed further than anyone, ran more than any quarterback could run, and left defensive coordinator's heads spinning. He was able to do all of this while flipping off his home fans in Atlanta, getting caught with marijuana, and distributing genital herpes under the "pen(is) name" of Ron Mexico. Not too shabby for someone who has yet to even celebrate their 30th birthday. But that's not all, oh no. For years and years Michael Vick operated a secret dog fighting ring where people would gamble on the outcome of dog fights, many of the dogs who lived through the fights were ordered to be killed by Vick. Even just this last incident left a horrible taste in my mouth. However, I found myself able to turn on the TV on Sunday and enjoy (for lack of a better word) my Eagles games with no problem.

We have a player here who has paid his debt to society for horrendous and inhumane crimes to "man's best friend" and forfeited his career for years. Now that he is out of jail and has done his time, does he not get back the right to earn a living like so many other criminals and convicts? Watching Michael Vick juke out and allude the likes of Demarcus Ware and Albert Haynesworth bothers me a whole lot less than allowing a man who cheated millions of NFL fans out of sheer, wholesome competition for years to continue coaching.

Don't get me wrong - I am a dog lover. I have a dog and enjoy his company more than I probably should. I find Michael Vick's complete lack of respect and appreciation for dogs a horrible crime. Seeing that he has paid his debt and lasted over a year in jail has me feeling fine about having him don the midnight green, much more than I would if I were a fan of the Dolphins, Jets, or Bills - teams in the Patriots division.

Michael Vick's lack of respect for beings that are not human did enough to throw him in jail. On the other hand, it did nothing to effect the National Football League. It is for this reason that my conscience is not weighed down at all, nor am I burdened or torn by the fact that I will be rooting for one of the NFL's "bad guys."

Go Michael Vick, and Go Eagles.

**Check out the new poll**

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Clifford the Big Red Phillie

Right off the bat, I will admit that the title of this piece was not my clever pun but rather a text message I received from a friend shortly after the blockbuster deal. Nor does it necessarily work (his full name is Clifton). But the most important part is the second part of the title - we have ourselves a brand new Ace to add to our somewhat unsettling array of arms. While they range from your Average Joe's (Blanton) to your grandfatherly type (Moyer) to a super Hollywood style World Series MVP (Hamels) to your season surprise (Happ) to potentially one of the most dominant pitchers of my era (Pedro) to somewhat of a no name (Lopez), one thing is for sure - they have all gotten the job done. I will attempt to analyze to the best of my ability what I think our five-man rotation should look like after this coming Sunday, when the young but balding Happ is scheduled to start again.


1. Cliff Lee - This one is no shocker. There could, perhaps be a strong argument for the reigning World Series MVP in Hamels, given his tremendous success in October of 2008 and at scattered times during the 2009 season. Looking at what Lee brings to the table (was anyone else positively giddy after watching a 3-pitch strikeout of the first batter he faced as a Phillie? (oh yeah, there was that complete game win later that night too)), it is apparent that the Cy Young winner should lead this team into the dog days of the summer.

2. Cole Hamels - As stated above, his success speaks for itself. However there is some cause for concern. Looking at another young, World Series winning ace who suffered from a potential innings in
crease, Hamels doesn't look that much different than Josh Beckett. I won't get into the numbers here, but Beckett was dominant during the Red (Black) Sox (Pt. 2?) 2007 World Series run and fell off in a big way the following year - even during the playoffs. Putting this argument aside, Hamels has proven that he can succeed on the big stage (he would probably do pretty well on American Idol too come to think of it).


3. Joe Blanton - Besides having a mind boggling blonde hair  - black 
goatee combo, Blanton has been the Phillies most consistent starter this year. Even in his losses and no decisions, Blanton always keeps the Phils in the game. Oh yeah, remember that home run in game 4?!?!

4. J.A. (pronounced Jay) Happ - After missing out on the final spot for the rotation during Spring Training,  the Happ-ster proved the front office wrong and has since been one of the National Leagues best starting pitchers. Whether his success is reminiscent of Kyle Kendrick's 10 win explosion in 2007 has yet to be determined. Most, however would agree that Happ looks to be a much better pitcher than Kendrick, as he doesn't tend to rely on run support to get him his W's. The only problem with Happ is just how good he is. He posted excellent numbers as a long arm in the bullpen, not to mention that he is a lefty, something the Phillies have not had consistently in the pen all year (see injuries/suspension to Scott Eyre and J.C. Romero). Happ has shown his dominance as a starter, but also his value as a reliever. Thanks to Ruben Amaro's announcement that Happ will stay in the rotation, that makes this past paragraph somewhat of a moot point. This leads us to the most discussed topic in Philadelphia over the last few weeks...

5. The 5th Starter. Rodrigo Lopez has already been ousted to the bullpen which came as a surprise to no one. The fight for the fifth spot is between the eccentric Pedro Martinez and the grandfather clock himself, Jamie Moyer. What to do, what to do? Jamie leads the team in wins. But Pedro is, after all, Pedro. Jamie's ERA has been sky high and, like his age, shows no sign of going down. Pedro Martinez on the other hand has hurled to mixed reviews in the minors. Before we go any further, I will say that I support the Pedro signing 100%. To sign a pitcher of Pedro's caliber for chump change is a no brainer. If he gets injured or doesn't even make it up to the major's, no sweat off our brow. Back to his performance: Pedro has shown flashes of brilliance, such as an 11 strike out performance on Wednesday night. On the other hand, he also let up 4 runs. Which side do you look at here? Pedro has been a strikeout pitcher for his entire career and to see him make youngsters fan at his stuff can only mean good news. The bad news that this could spell is for Mr. Moyer. After a 16 win season in '08 he has duplicated his knack for putting numbers in the win column. He has failed to match his ERA numbers and has looked beatable way too often. But he wins. And while he has been a Phillie we have only seen our team get better. Is there a solution?

Yes. 6 man rotation - hold it, stop your yelling and quit shaking your head at me. 6 man rotation for the present. Slot Pedro in somewhere when one of our regular's might need an extra day. Go through the rotation a few times and go from there. There is no reason to make any rash decisions now, while the team is coasting away with the division in their pocket and their eyes on October. Sounds simple enough right? Now, there are some things that this team needs to stay away from...

- Do NOT put Moyer in the bullpen. The man felt more than slighted when the Phillies refused to overpay for his services after he helped end the quarter century title drought. He wanted his money and he got it. We all love Jamie Moyer, but hurting his feelings or asking him to do something that he basically has never done (he hasn't pitched out of the bullpen in 13 years) may not bode well, especially if the Pedro experiment fails. Pulling Moyer back out and telling him that "we really believed in you all along, now go throw 80 mph fastballs by Hanley Ramirez again" may not seem so believable.

-Do NOT put Happ in the bullpen if he fails to duplicate his 4 hit shutout of Wednesday night. Give the guy some room to work. He has already overcome three obstacles in 2009:
1. Losing out on the starting job to Chan Ho Park
2. Pitching excellently through trade rumors
3. Shutting out the Rockies to save his rotation life
The man has shown that he can handle pressure.

A 6 man rotation can save arms and rest this pitching group for what is looking like a realistic possibility at another exciting playoff run. To take a page out of Charlie Manuel's book...
This team is playin' good, pitching good, hittin' good and fieldin good. Looks like a good ballclub to have.

In other words - they're playing very...good. No reason for alarm or that much change.

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Sunday, June 28, 2009

June-isms

Thought I had faded into Bolivian? Never fear Mike Tyson and friends, I have simply been working hard during the day and watching way too much television at night. I know how much all of you have missed my bumbling and off-the-track thoughts on sports so I will again lazily provide you with a bullet point formatted listing of the recent goings on.

-Kobe Bryant has finally captured that elusive Shaq-less NBA title. I rooted very hard against him, as I remain bitter that he has basically destroyed the early 2000's "Iverson or Kobe?" argument. Barring a late career jump from Iverson winning a few Championships, the argument will remain in Kobe's favor and will continue to be "Kobe or LeBron?" I'm pulling for LeBron. Although, I was satisfied with Kobe's awkward interview on Conan a few nights after the '09 season concluded. His track suit and knack for trying to be too 'hood made me smile.

-The Pittsburgh Penguins won the Stanley Cup months after they were not even a surefire bet to make the playoffs. While I did not want to see the Red Wings get engraved onto Lord Stanley's for the dozenth time, I would have rather had them suck the life out of Sidney Crosby and his Pens repeatedly. The only solace I could take in the Penguins victory was at least it was in Detroit where the eighteen thousand fans could only stare at the ice in silence as the Penguins had no audience to feed off of while taking mini-laps with the trophy in front of a camera.

-Is it just me, or did this NBA finals paired with the NHL's Stanley Cup make you realize how lame the NBA Championship trophy is? Even compared to the Super Bowl and the World Series, I just feel that the NBA trophy is somewhat anti-climactic. Can't explain it.

-Up until yesterday the Phillies had lost 8 of 9 and 11 of 13. All the while I remained relatively calm, texting my friends who had bombarded me with misery and loss of faith. Most seem to have given up the season as a lost cause. I would think that the true mark of a good team is where they stand when the going gets rough. It can't get much rougher than losing 11 out of 13, and all the while the Phillies remained in first place. A Yankee sweep over the Mets tonight would put the Fightin's 2.5 up despite the fact that they have only managed to win one series out of the last five. Pessimists may remind you that we can only thank the competition for beating down the Mets, Braves, Marlins, and the lowly Nationals but let me remind you, you can only play the cards you are dealt. It doesn't matter how bad the Phillies play if the Mets and everyone else in the NL East continue to play even worse.

-Also, Raul Ibanez was put on the DL, Brad Lidge joined him, as well as Scott Eyre and Clay Condrey. Ryan Howard had a 104 degree fever, Brett Myers was lost for the season, our fifth starter is Antonio Bastardo who was not even drafted. Things can only get better as Lidge notched a one-run save today and Ibanez is set to comeback against the Mets (could there be any better timing?).

-The Flyers traded for Chris Pronger, a "puck clearing defenseman" as defenders of his size have come to be known. He will give us at least 40 points and should team up nicely with Timonen and Coburn to protect the puck in front of the net while Ray Emery ponders which Flyers coach to punch after the game and on which highway he will hit 130 mph. Paul Holmgren mortgaged the future of the Flyers with this move and the only way he will not take a huge bashing is if the Flyers can return the Cup to Philly and tie up the Cup race with the hated Penguins. 2 first round picks, a 25 goal scorer and a promising defensive star is too much to give up for an aging defenseman with one year left on his contract. On a COMPLETELY unrelated note, Jay Boumeester was had for a third round pick and below average free agent Jordan Leopold. Does that make any sense? No? Didn't think so.

-Never pieced together that McNabb's touchdown celebration dance moves were a tribute to His Popness. Five reminded us that his leg kicks and attempted moon walks were meant to impersonate the Prince of Plastic, the Sultan of Race Changing, the Master of Molesting, and the Colossus of Crotch-Grabbing. Michael Jackson, if you couldn't get the Babe Ruthian hints (to all of my Sandlot junkies out there, I solute you).

-Brett Favre: you win. I will write nothing about you in this post. Just know that you win. Now go home, chew some tobacco, and fish. And for God's sake please leave us the hell alone.

-How is sports gambling actually supposed to be illegal when the newspapers publish the lines for every game?

-Who caught the moment when Fox picked out a black man in the stands of the Phillies-Yankees game back in May and promptly decided that he must be John Mayberry Sr. Any idea if Fox got in trouble for this bit of hilarity?

-I used DVR for sports for the first time. I managed to record the entire Monday of the U.S. Open and stayed away from the results (phone, computer, told people not to talk about it) and experienced the (lack of) thrill of seeing Lucas Glover win the silver trophy. Phil Mickelson, you truly have taken choking to a new level. Oh, and Tiger Woods apparently stinks at putting.

-Sticking with the Country Club sports, I enjoy how ESPN continues to compare Tiger with Roger Federer as if the argument held any actual validity. One plays golf while the other plays tennis. Just because they both dominate their respective fields has nothing to do with each other. Except for the fact that America is only interested in watching dominance in two sports that are basically off the map.

-The second half of the Confederation Cup today was a rude reminder as to why America has not embraced soccer. It was as if they fielded the U.S. team from 1984-2008 Philadelphia or a pre 2004 Red Sox team. On Bill Simmons' "levels of losing", this has to be up there. Hopefully the nation does not accept the defeat of soccer as easily as the U.S. accepted 45 minutes of Brazilian offensive occupation in the second half. Brutal, just brutal.

-I currently am at a streak of 1 for ESPN's Streak for Cash.

-I visited a sports card and memorabilia show yesterday for the first time in seven years. Hoping that my childhood passion would ignite again, I was sorely disappointed, as were my cousin and uncle. The 10 cent card boxes just aren't appealing anymore. Check back with me in another seven years and maybe I will have had a change of heart.

-How did Dejuan Blair fall so far in the draft? Is it even conceivable that a team would rather have an unknown entity from the Congo than a player that, as Jay Bilas so eloquently put it, "beasted" Hasheem Thabeet (pick number 2)? Blair should put the Spurs back into title contention, as they have also added Richard Jefferson to make a formidable bunch of weapons.

-Not much to say on the Jrue Holiday draft pick by the Seventy Suxers (clever I know), other than on paper it is utterly, completely, visibly, obviously, totally moronic and wrong. But what else can we expect of a franchise that has time and again proved to be inept with running a basketball team? So when it comes down to it, it wouldn't make sense for the Sixers to pick the proven winner in Ty Lawson.

-Is it possible that Ricky Rubio and his agent can be even more greasy than RickRubs hair?

-David Akers was recently named the 17th most underrated player in the NFL. Does that make you feel better?

-Me neither.

-My first trip to Citi Field with my dad resulted in a 5-4 11-inning victory. My dad also enjoyed a personal victory when I pointed out that the drunk [expletive]...err girl who had forcefully tried to remove him from a seat that wasn't even hers was being ticketed for underage drinking in the eating area. He walked up to her, pointed at her and laughed and when she asked what he was laughing at, he of course said "you" and continued to double over in laughter.

There it is, sports as I know it over the past two months. I am sure that I have not accounted for a thousandth of what I should have written about (Manny Ramirez, Manny Ramirez, and Manny Ramirez) but have no fear. I shall be back.

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